Joyce Penner, professor of atmospheric, oceanic and space sciences,
talks about climate change with Donald Kennedy, editor in chief
of Science magazine, June 15 at an event in Washington, D.C. The
American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), the
world's largest general science society, and its journal, Science,
convened the public conference. Penner says greenhouse gases are
warming the Earth faster than aerosols like dust can mask them,
according to an AAAS press release. Various types of aerosolsfrom
soot and dust to sulfureither
can cool or warm the climate, she says. Warming is associated with
absorbing black carbon emissions such as soot, while non-absorbing
aerosols are tied to cooling, which scientists call "negative
forcing." "In the long term, greenhouse gas effects are
not going to be masked by aerosols," Penner says, debunking
a popular myth related to climate change. "But in the short
term, we have a problem predicting what aerosols do to the climate.
The best current aerosol models give a cooling force, which is
larger than we can explain. This must be balanced by other effects
that are not properly accounted for in climate models. But eventually,
warming caused by greenhouse gases will overwhelm any aerosol-related
cooling." (Photo by Mike Waring, U-M Washington
Office) |