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Updated 10:00 AM November 9, 2009

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U-M conference will feature U.S. and state economic forecasts

The national and state economies, the U.S. housing market, health care reform, the future of the American auto industry, the stock market and more are all topics of discussion at the 57th annual Economic Outlook Conference Nov. 19-20 at the Rackham Building Amphitheater.

"More than ever before, the economy is a front-burner issue," says George Fulton, director of U-M's Research Seminar in Quantitative Economics. "The Economic Outlook Conference features leading experts in their fields providing perspectives and insights on the current economic situation, on where the economy is heading in the following months and years, and on what policy prescriptions show the most promise for future prosperity."

The conference kicks off at 9:30 a.m. Nov. 19 with "The U.S. Economic Outlook for 2010-2011," presented by U-M economist Joan Crary. Her talk is followed by a presentation by William Dunkelberg of Temple University and the National Federation of Independent Business, who will discuss "Economic Recovery: Will Small Business Provide the Jobs?" Then, U-M economist Richard Curtin will give "The 2010 Outlook for Consumption."

That afternoon at 2 p.m., Peter Hooper of Deutsche Bank Securities will give his perspective on the U.S. economic outlook, while David Berson of PMI Group will discuss "The Outlook of Housing and Mortgage Markets in 2010: Is the Recovery for Real?" and Tyler Shumway of the U-M's Ross School of Business will address "Reactions to the Stock Market Crash."

At 7:45 p.m., Paula Lantz of the School of Public Health will talk about "Health Care Reform: Policies, Politics, and Progress."

At 9:30 a.m. Nov. 20, Fulton will present "The 2010-2011 Outlook for the Michigan Economy." His talk will be followed by presentations from Arthur Schwartz of General Motors on "What Is the Future for the Detroit Three and What Does That Mean for Michigan?" and from Timothy Bartik of the Upjohn Institute for Employment Research who will address "What Should Michigan Be Doing to Promote Long-Term Economic Development?"

The conference is sponsored by the Research Seminar in Quantitative Economics. For more information go to

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